SWOT Analysis of AAP, BJP, and Congress for Delhi Assembly Elections

Election of Delhi Assembly: SWOT analysis of BJP, AAP, and Congress

According to the promises the triangular high stakes contest election among AAP, BJP, and Congress, is going to be held on February 8. This election is for 70-members of Delhi assembly. And the counting of votes will take up on February 11.

The results will be seen as a verdict on the recent incidents which have seen that BJP and its opponent clashes over the allegations of “majoratism” and “intolerance”, despite the usually limited role of “national” issues in state polls. That too with regard to the violence on campuses and legislations like the citizenship amendment act (CAA).

Following the SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunity, threat) analysis

Seeking to the re-election, Delhi chief minister, Arvind Kejriwal and his party (AAP) is pitching to the performance of its government and its achievements to the active rivals BJP and Congress in the election which was set on 8th February.

STRENGTH: Arvind Kejriwal has the instinct of an established leader. And he is a charismatic vote catcher. Although he might have lost a few votes from the middle class, but has gained popularity among the poor, with his subsidy related schemes.

WEAKNESS: AAP is now no longer remain the novelty. Has become a political party like the other parties in India. And has its own share of controversy. But have got a poor result in Lok Sabha polls. The main concern of the party was that it came third in the Lok Sabha polls.

OPPORTUNITY: AAP pitches itself as the local choices. Let’s hope that the recent trend of the regional party is doing well in the state polls works for them. Congress’s lack of the popular face, Sheila Dikshit helped AAP to position itself as an anti-BJP force.

THREAT: ticket distribution is a very tricky task, as repeating the sixty-seven MLAs who won in 2015 will be difficult and might have to face rebels.

BJP is all set to go to the polls without CM candidate

From the previous polls, BJP is set to contest the Delhi assembly elections. But they have not revealed the names of ministerial candidates. As the party seeks to vote in the name of Prime Minister, Narendra Modi and the central government performance under him.

STRENGTH: If we help on to its vote to share between the years 2013 and 2015 assembly polls, Lok Sabha swept the elections in 2014 and 2019. This time PM Narendra Modi as the poll mascot promises the central help in the development of Delhi.

WEAKNESS: They don’t have any CM nominee, the city heavyweights have not been got along. The party has to counter Kejriwal’s stature and the initiatives on education, mohalla, water, power, and health.

OPPORTUNITY: Can raise CAA and the violence in Jamia Milia violence and the hopes delay in the metro, the resignation of the ministers and AAP’s squabbles with that of the city officials and MCDs dent AAP sheen.

THREAT: If the congress under-perform in the election, then the election can become bi-polar. Which hurts BJP potentially, which can’t count on the 56% vote which they got in the Lok Sabha polls.

CONGRESS’ EYES TURN AROUND WITH THE NEW ZEAL

In the election battle, Congress faces the toughest challenge. After being at the chair for three consecutive terms, viz. 1998 to 2013. But in the assembly polls in 2013, they have got a back seat by managing only eight seats in the 70-member assembly. And AAP, in just the second election won a record of 67 seats. Congress couldn’t even open its account.

STRENGTH: Sprang to a surprise, by the second in LS election, the vote rose from 15% in 2014 to 22.5% in 2019. This indicates the traction within its base of minorities and poorer voters.

WEAKNESS: the party organization lacks the cohesion of individual leaders to do not pull along. This is because of the death of Shiela Dikshit, which has seen the party turned to the old warhorse Subhash Chopra.

OPPORTUNITY: this could benefit from the perceived decline of the AAP who supports as it presents the anti-BJP voters at an alternative. The success in Maharashtra and Jharkhand. Much better show in Haryana is the boost to the party.

THREAT: the party could be squeezed out between the other parties, AAP and BJP. If the polls become polarised and the voters split along with the saffron-secular lines looks to consolidate.